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Calculators - Basic Prediction
 Calculators
- Basic Prediction
This is an advanced three model prediction system which is reasonable from
100 metres through to Ultra events. To use just fill in the three top values and click the
Predict button. A prediction will appear below the buttons. Entering
information is easy but a little different from other systems.
Distance: m-miles, y-yards, k-kms, me-metres, default miles; eg 4m440y
(accepts 'marathon' or 'half')
Time: d-days, h-hours, m-mins, s-secs, default mins; eg 4h34m23.45s
(accepts mins:secs)
More Details
Predicting performance based on a single result is prone to error. Many things
can happen which will make the result invalid. These include how specific your
training is for the new distance and the conditions, terrain, and weather for the new
race..The RunCoach predictor is based on average results for a variety of nearby
distances. Biomechanics and genetics mean that people seem to be good over a fairly
narrow range. This predictor takes this into account by using three different
interlocked models. It has a sprints model, a middle distance model and a long
distance model. Each model is quite good within its area of application, but gets
weaker as it gets further outside its limits. RunCoach will let you know if the
prediction may be a bit out by classifying the result into three categories (good -
reasonable prediction, average - should try and get a closer dsitance PB, poor - your PB
distance result has no bearing on your predicted target). If you get a poor or
average estimate you can improve the prediction by getting a PB distance which is closer
to the target distance.
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RunCoach
